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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Should anyone be interested, the breakdown by occupation of the 26 individuals who participated in the Franks-Lackey survey is as follows:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Current Federal: 7<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Retired Federal: 1<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Current State: 3<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Retired State: 3<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>University System: 5<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>NGO/Other: 7<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%'>I promised Ms. Franks that I would provide her my take on the several questions, but have failed so far to do so.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%'>It would be interesting, of course, to have survey results from an even larger population of experts<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%'>Bill Kier<o:p></o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>From:</span></b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'> env-trinity [mailto:env-trinity-bounces@velocipede.dcn.davis.ca.us] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Sari Sommarstrom<br><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, May 19, 2015 9:01 AM<br><b>To:</b> env-trinity@velocipede.dcn.davis.ca.us<br><b>Subject:</b> [env-trinity] FW: OSU News Release - California Central Valley Salmon Future<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:center'><b><span style='font-size:14.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'>Bleak Future for Central Valley Wild Salmon</span></b><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:150%'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:150%'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%'> In a recently published paper by Sierra Franks and Robert Lackey of Oregon State University, most surveyed fisheries experts concluded that by 2100 wild salmon in the California Central Valley will be extirpated or minimally abundant if current trends continue. The experts provided their candid assessments with a promise of complete and permanent anonymity. Despite restoration efforts spanning decades and involving large expenditures, runs of wild salmon in the Central Valley continue to decline. The causes of the decline are many and have been well studied. Given the most probable policy and ecological scenarios (<i>i.e.</i> effects of continued harvest, continued stocking from hatcheries, changing climate, continued human population growth and associated demands for scarce water resources) and based on expert judgment by fisheries experts, Franks and Lackey projected the most likely future of wild salmon runs in the Central Valley in 2100 and it is not promising. The paper was published in the current issue of </span><a href="http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%'>San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science</span></a><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%'> and is available for free download.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:center'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'>**************************<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:center'><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'>Web Link: </span><a href="http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p"><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%'>http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p</span></a><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:center'><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:center'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'>**************************<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt;line-height:115%;color:#0000CC'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></body></html>