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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body bgcolor="#DDDDDD" lang=EN-US link="#0088CC" vlink="#0088CC"><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-line-height-alt:15.6pt;background:white'><b><span lang=EN style='font-size:16.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/"><span style='color:black'>Drought killing farm jobs — even as they grow</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#777777'>Posted on <a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/" title="6:22 pm"><u><span style='color:#777777'>June 8, 2015</span></u></a> by <a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/author/californiawaterblog/" title="View all posts by UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences"><u><span style='color:#777777'>UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences</span></u></a> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><img border=0 width=640 height=303 id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.jpg@01D0A433.A9DF1080" alt="Despite the drought, jobs and revenue in 2014 continued to grow in some parts of California agriculture. Workers shown here in 2013 are harvesting cauliflower on the Central Coast, which was less affected by the drought. Photo by John Chacon/California Department of Water Resources. "></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black'>Despite the drought, jobs and revenue in 2014 continued to grow in some parts of California agriculture. Workers shown here in 2013 are harvesting cauliflower on the Central Coast, which was less affected by the drought. <i>Photo by John Chacon/California Department of Water Resources.</i></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><i><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>By Josué Medellín-Azuara, Richard Howitt, Duncan MacEwan, Daniel Sumner and Jay Lund</span></i><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>With all the news about the drought drying up farm jobs, it seems paradoxical that California agriculture actually came out a bit ahead on employment growth last year.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>The industry gained a monthly average of more than 4,000 jobs in 2014, up 1 percent from 2013, according to the latest state Employment Development Department statistics.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>How could this be?</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>The drought has caused growers to fallow hundreds of thousands of acres and forced ranchers to sell off livestock. But some parts of agriculture have continued to grow in revenue and jobs (albeit at a slower rate because of the drought).</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/swiss%20chard%20on%20central%20Coast,%202013.%20Phtoto%20by%20John%20Chacon/California%20Department%20of%20Water%20Resources"><span style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#0066CC'><img border=0 width=300 height=212 id="Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image002.jpg@01D0A433.A9DF1080" alt="Workers harvesting "></span></a><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black'>Workers harvesting swiss chard on Central Coast, winter 2013. <i>Photo by John Chacon/California Department of Water Resources</i></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>The growth in labor is largely from farmers shifting to more profitable, permanent crops that usually <a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/04/28/jobs-per-drop-irrigating-california-crops/"><u><span style='color:black'>take more hands</span></u></a> to produce, a trend that has been going on for many years.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Global markets are favoring tree fruits and nuts, vine crops and vegetables with high prices, such as almonds pistachios and grapes. This is feeding conversion of farmland from annual crops and pasture to orchards and vineyards that are too valuable to fallow.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Despite the drought, growth in these more labor-intensive crops increased overall agricultural employment last year to a monthly average of 412,300 jobs, the state labor data show.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Last summer we estimated the 2014 drought would result in the loss of 17,100 jobs across California’s economy, with 7,500 of these jobs directly related to agriculture. The fallout has been harsh on many farm communities already suffering from high unemployment, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. But it is not inconsistent with the longer-term increase in total farm employment.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><img border=0 width=200 height=300 id="Picture_x0020_3" src="cid:image003.jpg@01D0A433.A9DF1080" alt="Blossoms appear on the trees in the many orchards of the San Joaquin Valley."></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black'>A San Joaquin Valley almond orchard in bloom, winter 2013. California growers are shifting to more profitable permanent crops such as almonds, which usually are more labor-intensive than the lower-value annual crops such as alfalfa.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Consider the stock market and suppose you own stock only in Google. If Google goes down, but the market as a whole goes up, no one will question that you have lost money. The same idea applies to the 2014 California drought: Total statewide farm employment (stock market) increased because of strong specialty crop prices and other factors unrelated to the drought. The drought (Google) nevertheless led to significant fallowing and farm job losses in many parts of the state.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Aggregate employment statistics can be misleading, especially in agriculture, with its high proportion of undocumented, seasonal, part-time and contract jobs.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>Drought impacts on farm employment are estimated by going directly to the cause, namely water shortages. These shortages are then expressed in lost jobs using <a href="https://watershed.ucdavis.edu/2014-drought-report"><u><span style='color:black'>economic models</span></u></a> that link water to farm production to farm jobs. This gives an estimate of the incremental effect of drought on agricultural employment.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'>The drought-related job loss estimates from our models do not account for the compensating effects of regional shifting of jobs or water trades. But they do give a good indication of areas most vulnerable to drought.</span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:.25in;line-height:18.0pt;background:white'><i><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:black'><a href="https://watershed.ucdavis.edu/people/howitt"><u><span style='color:black'>Richard Howitt</span></u></a>, <a href="https://watershed.ucdavis.edu/people/josu%C3%A9-medell%C3%ADn-azuara"><u><span style='color:black'>Josué Medellín-Azuara</span></u></a> and <a href="https://watershed.ucdavis.edu/people/jay-r-lund"><u><span style='color:black'>Jay Lund</span></u></a> are with the UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences; <a href="http://www.eraeconomics.com/#!aboutus/c20r9"><u><span style='color:black'>Duncan MacEwan</span></u></a> is with ERA Economics in Davis, Calif.; and <a href="http://are.ucdavis.edu/en/people/faculty/daniel-sumner/#pk_campaign=short-name-redirect&pk_kwd=sumner"><u><span style='color:black'>Daniel Sumner</span></u></a> is director of the University of California Agricultural Issues Center.</span></i><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><img border=0 width=640 height=476 id="Picture_x0020_4" src="cid:image004.jpg@01D0A433.A9DF1080" alt="California's agricultural workforce grew slightly in 2014, largely because growers are shifting to more labor-intensive, permanent crops with higher prices, such as almonds and grapes. However, the drought sharply decreased employment in contract farm labor and other support jobs during the irrigation season. Source: California Employment Development Department "></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Georgia","serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;text-align:center;line-height:13.5pt;background:#F1F1F1'><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black'>California’s agricultural workforce grew slightly in 2014, largely because growers are shifting to more labor-intensive, permanent crops with higher prices, such as almonds and grapes. However, the drought sharply decreased employment in contract farm labor and other support jobs during the irrigation season. <i>Source: California Employment Development Department</i></span><span lang=EN style='font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#333333'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>From:</span></b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'> California WaterBlog [mailto:comment-reply@wordpress.com] <br><b>Sent:</b> Monday, June 08, 2015 6:23 PM<br><b>To:</b> sari@sisqtel.net<br><b>Subject:</b> [New post] California drought killing farm jobs — even as they grow<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div align=center><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%;background:#DDDDDD'><tr><td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences posted: " By Josué Medellín-Azuara, Richard Howitt, Duncan MacEwan, Daniel Sumner and Jay Lund With all the news about the drought drying up farm jobs, it seems paradoxical that California agriculture actually came out a bit ahead on employment growth last y" <o:p></o:p></span></p><div align=center><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%'><tr><td style='padding:7.5pt 7.5pt 7.5pt 7.5pt'><div align=center><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%'><tr><td style='padding:0in 0in 7.5pt 0in'><p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center'><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>Respond to this post by replying above this line<o:p></o:p></span></p></td></tr></table></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%;background:white;max-width: 1024px;min-width: 320px'><tr><td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%;background:#43A4D0'><tr><td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'></td></tr></table><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";display:none'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><table class=MsoNormalTable border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%;background:#EFEFEF;border:none;border-bottom:solid #DDDDDD 1.0pt'><tr><td style='border:none;padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><h2 style='mso-margin-top-alt:4.8pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:.05in;margin-left:0in;font-size:16px!important;margin:20px!important'><span style='font-size:27.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:#464646;font-weight:normal'>New post on </span><strong><span style='font-size:27.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:#464646'>California WaterBlog</span></strong><span style='font-size:27.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:#464646;font-weight:normal'> <o:p></o:p></span></h2></td><td style='border:none;padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='text-align:right'><span style='font-size:15.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#0088CC'><img border=0 width=32 height=32 id="_x0000_i1025" src="http://0.gravatar.com/blavatar/cb88542dff0d60f8d58c9bcc44ed0708?s=32&d=http%3A%2F%2Fs0.wp.com%2Fi%2Femails%2Fblavatar.png&ts=1433813021"><o:p></o:p></span></p></td></tr></table><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%;background:white'><tr><td style='padding:15.0pt 15.0pt 15.0pt 15.0pt'><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%'><tr><td valign=top style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="100%" style='width:100.0%'><tr><td nowrap valign=top style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/author/californiawaterblog/"><span style='color:#2585B2'><img border=0 width=50 height=50 id="_x0000_i1026" src="http://0.gravatar.com/avatar/3379d85c329e309cccab22a7ac4c6c87?s=50&d=identicon&r=G"></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p></td><td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><h2 style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><span style='font-size:15.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#555555'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>California drought killing farm jobs — even as they grow</span></u></a><o:p></o:p></span></h2><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#888888'>by <a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/author/californiawaterblog/"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences</span></u></a></span><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p></td></tr></table><div style='margin-top:12.0pt;max-width: 560px'><p style='mso-margin-top-alt:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:12.0pt;margin-left:0in;line-height:16.8pt'><span style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:#444444'>By Josué Medellín-Azuara, Richard Howitt, Duncan MacEwan, Daniel Sumner and Jay Lund With all the news about the drought drying up farm jobs, it seems paradoxical that California agriculture actually came out a bit ahead on employment growth last year. The industry gained a monthly average of more than 4,000 jobs in 2014, up 1 […]<o:p></o:p></span></p><p style='mso-margin-top-alt:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:12.0pt;margin-left:0in;line-height:16.8pt'><span style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:#444444'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>Read more of this post</span></u></a><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div style='border-top:solid #EEEEEE 1.0pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid #EEEEEE 1.0pt;border-right:none;padding:11.0pt 0in 11.0pt 0in;margin-top:3.0pt;overflow:hidden'><p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:160%'><strong><span style='font-size:8.5pt;line-height:160%;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#999999'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/author/californiawaterblog/"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences</span></u></a></span></strong><span style='font-size:8.5pt;line-height:160%;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#999999'> | June 8, 2015 at 6:22 pm | Categories: <a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/?cat=1"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>Uncategorized</span></u></a> | URL: <a href="http://wp.me/p17k4l-1eX"><u><span style='color:#2585B2'>http://wp.me/p17k4l-1eX</span></u></a> <o:p></o:p></span></p></div><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width=0 style='width:0in'><tr><td width=10 style='width:7.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'><a href="http://californiawaterblog.com/2015/06/08/california-drought-killing-farm-jobs-even-as-they-grow/#respond"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";color:white;border:solid #11729E 1.0pt;padding:4.0pt;background:#2585B2'>Comment</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p></td><td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><span 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