[1st-mile-nm] FTTH Stats

Bob Knight bob at bobknight.net
Fri Oct 5 22:30:02 PDT 2007


Depends if you only need downstream speed. If you need upstream, then 
symmetric bandwidth is the ticket. Look at the speed test archive at 
dslreports.com to compare the ratios for various providers.

One thing Comcast is notorious for is its usage limits, which are not 
publicized. People have triggered the company's ire all over the US. 
However, that is the residential offering. The business offering is 
likely more appropriate for large users.

On the whole, though, I'd agree with Tom: T-1's are not financially 
viable considering the alternatives available. Interestingly, though, 
the DS-3 we just installed will cost us about the same as our four 
existing T-1's: $3k per month (we have some backhaul requirements that 
kick the price in our two rural locations). 30x bandwidth for a quarter 
the cost :).

Generally, we don't get bent about lots of usage. Downstream bandwidth 
is unregulated, with the caveat that we ask our members to be respectful 
during peak periods. One serious impact on our network, though, is 
sustained upstream usage such as can be caused by heavy P2P. It just 
kills our 802.11b links. Most of our backhauls are 802.11a and it's less 
of a problem for those, since they're usually point-to-point which 
avoids hidden node issues (mostly). 802.11 half-duplex 
point-to-multipoint just doesn't cut it for that sort of traffic. I'd 
like to see what 802.16 does in those situations, though. Real Soon Now, 
perhaps.

FWIW.

Bob





Tom Johnson wrote:
> Richard probably has a better answer than I, but you could buy a T1 
> for around $400 per month.  But I look at these companies and see that 
> they're talking about 1.5mbps download.  Hell, that's DSL speeds so 
> where's the advantage today for T1?  Even Comcast is delivering much 
> more for much less, apparently.
>
> But see http://t1links.com/nm/santa-fe-county.cfm
>
> -tom
>
>
> On 10/4/07, *Owen Densmore* <owen at backspaces.net 
> <mailto:owen at backspaces.net>> wrote:
>
>     Just out of curiosity, what is the best broadband to the home
>     possible in Santa Fe or all of NM for that matter?  .. regardless of
>     price?
>
>     Owen
>
>
>     On Oct 4, 2007, at 5:46 PM, Richard Lowenberg wrote:
>
>     > Just in from the Fiber to the Home Council.
>     >
>     > Fiber-to-the-home connections in the U.S. have more than doubled
>     from
>     > a year ago to surpass the 2 million mark, according to data released
>     > today from Render Vanderslice and Associates.
>     >
>     >
>     <http://telephonyonline.com/home/news/ftth_homes_connections_100307/>
>     >
>     >
>     > FTTH Con: U.S. FTTH connections top 2 million
>     > By Ed Gubbins
>     > Oct 3, 2007 2:00 PM
>     >
>     > ORLANDO--Fiber-to-the-home connections in the U.S. have more than
>     > doubled
>     > from a year ago to surpass the 2 million mark, according to data
>     > released
>     > today from Render Vanderslice and Associates.
>     >
>     > As of September, 2.14 million U.S. homes were connected to
>     fiber, more
>     > than double the 1.01 million connected a year earlier, RVA said.
>     The
>     > current annual growth rate of 112% is up from the 99% seen in March
>     > and
>     > down from the 213% seen a year ago from a smaller base.
>     >
>     > Fiber now passes 9.55 million U.S. homes, up 56% from a year
>     earlier.
>     >
>     > And FTTH video subscribers are up 160% from a year earlier to 1.1
>     > million.
>     >
>     > Verizon Communications accounts for about two thirds of the
>     > countrys FTTH
>     > subscribers and more than two thirds of the homes passed by fiber.
>     >
>     > While overall FTTH take rates had been suppressed while Verizon was
>     > building its FTTH infrastructure faster than it was adding
>     > customers, the
>     > company is connecting customers more quickly now, said the FTTH
>     > Council,
>     > which released the results of RVAs research in conjunction with the
>     > Telecommunications Industry Association.
>     >
>     > However, Verizons take rates are low compared to the rest of the
>     > industry,
>     > RVA said. The average take rate for all FTTH services is nearly 27%
>     > (up
>     > from 22% six months ago). But while Verizon reports a 19% take rate
>     > for
>     > its fiber broadband service, for example, the average take rate
>     > among the
>     > rest of the FTTH sector is nearly 52%.
>     >
>     > Though Verizon has the lions share of the domestic FTTH business,
>     > analysts
>     > have been surprised by the growth rate of other FTTH providers.
>     > There are
>     > 369 FTTH providers in the U.S. today, 5% more than there were a
>     > year ago,
>     > RVA said.
>     >
>     > Bell companies account for 69% of the countrys FTTH subscribers,
>     > RVA said,
>     > while other incumbent telcos account for 16%. Competitive local
>     > exchange
>     > carriers hold 6% of FTTH subscribers, and those in partnership with
>     > developers hold another 5%. Municipalities hold more than 3%.
>     >
>     > RVAs numbers dont necessarily include multidwelling units, where
>     fiber
>     > often extends only to building basements, and subscribers are
>     > served more
>     > directly by advanced DSL over copper.
>     >
>     > Also this week, the FTTH Council pointed out that, as of the end of
>     > last
>     > year, the U.S. was dead last in a list of 11 countries with more
>     > than 1%
>     > FTTH and fiber-to-the-building market penetration. Topping the list
>     > was
>     > Hong Kong, with 21% penetration, South Korea with 20% and Japan
>     > with 16%.
>     > The U.S. had just 1% penetration.
>     >
>     > However, the FTTH Council suggested earlier this week that the new
>     > data
>     > could change the U.S. position in those rankings.
>     >
>     >
>     > ------------------------------------------------
>     > Richard Lowenberg
>     > P.O.Box 8001, Santa Fe, NM 87504
>     > 505-989-9110,  505-603-5200 cell
>     >
>     > New Mexico Broadband Initiative
>     > www.1st-mile.com/newmexico <http://www.1st-mile.com/newmexico>
>     > ------------------------------------------------
>     >
>     >
>     >
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>
> -- 
> ==========================================
> J. T. Johnson
> Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
> www.analyticjournalism.com <http://www.analyticjournalism.com>
> 505.577.6482(c)                                 505.473.9646(h)
> http://www.jtjohnson.com                 tom at jtjohnson.us 
> <mailto:tom at jtjohnson.us>
>
> "You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
> To change something, build a new model that makes the
> existing model obsolete."
>                                                    -- Buckminster Fuller
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