[1st-mile-nm] IEEE: 5G is in Danger of Being Oversold

David Breecker [dba] david at breeckerassociates.com
Fri Mar 2 15:41:32 PST 2018


Let’s stay with self-driving cats, could be the next hot YouTube meme ;-)

Good weekend to all,
db


> On Mar 2, 2018, at 4:22 PM, Steve Ross <editorsteve at gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Cars, too. Meow.
> 
> On Mar 2, 2018 6:22 PM, editorsteve at gmail.com <mailto:editorsteve at gmail.com> wrote:
> Self driving cats need to know what all the other cars are doing. Very opposite of autonomous.
> 
> On Mar 2, 2018 6:15 PM, "Doug Orr" <doug.orr at gmail.com <mailto:doug.orr at gmail.com>> wrote:
> I'm pretty sure mimo is going to be like multiprocessor compensating for the demise of Moore's law in processors around transistor density: applications have to change for it to be of profound use, it won't speed up things to their advertised potential, except maybe a few new things come out as the result of new end to end stacks...  
> 
> Most of the speed hacks don't look like they will work well for anything other than big parallel transfers, and latency is still speed of light constrained. Anything involving the edge starts to eat power and comes with troublesome consistency issues. 
> 
> People picturing super fast web and 8k movies are likely in for some surprises.
> 
> Self driving cars will need to be largely autonomous, so I find all of the talk about how they are the 5g killer app confusing. That may just be my ignorance. Wrt super chatty self driving cars, aggregate bandwidth is the issue and there will be a lot of work carriers have to do to support cell density at scale. Having your car stop working in a cell dead zone seems like a bad consumer experience...
> 
> 5g looks like the primary muddier of 5g waters to me.
> 
> On Fri, Mar 2, 2018, 3:54 PM Jeff <jeff at mountainconnect.org <mailto:jeff at mountainconnect.org>> wrote:
> One could argue Samsung, with new LTE technology (4x4 MIMO antenna, frequency aggregation, 256 QAM) introduced in their S8 phone, may have muddied the 5G waters.
> 
> Jeff
> 
> On 2/28/18, 1:43 PM, "1st-mile-nm on behalf of Richard Lowenberg" <1st-mile-nm-bounces at mailman.dcn.org <mailto:1st-mile-nm-bounces at mailman.dcn.org> on behalf of rl at 1st-mile.org <mailto:rl at 1st-mile.org>> wrote:
> 
>     Following on recent postings.     RL
> 
>     -------
> 
>     Commercial service is years away, but even then, 5G won’t fulfill all of
>     its promises
> 
>     https://spectrum.ieee.org/telecom/internet/5g-is-in-danger-of-being-oversold <https://spectrum.ieee.org/telecom/internet/5g-is-in-danger-of-being-oversold>
> 
>     By Stacey Higginbotham
> 
>     Just like graphene or Elon Musk’s startups, 5G has become a technology
>     savior. Proponents tout the poorly defined wireless technology as the
>     path to virtual reality, telemedicine, and self-⁠driving cars.
> 
>     But 5G is not a technology—it’s a buzzword unleashed by marketing
>     departments. As early as 2012, Broadcom was using it to sell Wi-Fi. In
>     reality, 5G is a term that telecommunications investors and executives
>     sling around as the solution to high infrastructure costs, the need for
>     more bandwidth, and a desire to boost margins.
> 
>     The unifying component behind 5G is faster wireless broadband service. A
>     more stringent—and practical—definition is the use of high-frequency
>     millimeter waves (in addition to the microwaves that 4G LTE relies on
>     today) to deliver over-the-air broadband to phones or homes.
> 
>     If you’re talking about phones, 5G is still years away. And new services
>     aren’t really on the menu. Just listen to the heads of several
>     telecommunications companies, who have begun to tamp down investors’
>     expectations around what 5G can deliver.
> 
>     (snip)
> 
> 
>     ---------------------------------------------------------------
>     Richard Lowenberg, Executive Director
>     1st-Mile Institute     505-603-5200 <tel:(505)%20603-5200>
>     Box 8001, Santa Fe, NM 87504,
>     rl at 1st-mile.org <mailto:rl at 1st-mile.org>     www.1st-mile.org <http://www.1st-mile.org/>
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David Breecker,
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www.breeckerassociates.com <http://www.breeckerassociates.com/>

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